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An Assessment of Metrics to Measure Seasonal Variation in  Form

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hello in this video we will look at time series and the seasonal variation the table and time series graph give information about the number of visitors to the british museum between quarter 1 2015 and quarter 3 2017 the number of visitors is in thousands here is the information represented in the table we have each of the years and we have each quarter and then the values have been plotted on our time series graph so at 2015 quarter 1 1460 and so on those points are joined with dotted lines because we're unsure of what's happened between those data points these points are a four point moving average and that's plotted in the middle of the four points which have been averaged so here it's in the middle of the first four points and this is in the middle of the points 2 3 4 and q 1 of the next year the blue line is the trend line and we can see here that we have a downward trend the seasonal variation is the actual value the original data value minus the t

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