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alright welcome back in this video we are learning what is the probability that a project will finish early or late so looking at this this is the network diagram that we were able to build on previous videos based on this this table of dependencies here but we've been working on this for a couple videos and so what we learned from this network diagram is we were able to figure out the expected duration of the project was 41 days you can see that year I had a project variance of a point five five and a standard deviation of two point nine two we found expected duration by summing up the expected durations along the critical path we found the variance by summing up the variances along the critical path and then because of the central limit theorem we're not able to sum up the standard deviations along the critical path so what we do as we just take the square root of the project variance and that gives us the standard deviation all right so moving on what we want to do now is we want t

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