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Is there any truth to the idea that people who have guns in their homes for protection are more likely to be shot or in more danger than those who don't have guns?Yes there is, in the same way that people who own nitroglycerine pills are more likely to have a heart attack than those who don’t have such pills, or that people who own numerous diet foods are more likely to be morbidly obese than people with no diet foods in their house. Or that people with lighters in their pockets or purses are more likely to die of lung cancer. Which is not to say that nitroglycerine pills cause heart attacks, nor that diet foods cause morbid obesity, nor that lighters cause lung cancer - nor that owning a gun causes someone to get shot.The study which found that “a gun in the home nearly triples the risk of homicide”, authored by Arthur Kellerman, failed to account for reverse causation, namely, that people who tended to have guns in the home were more likely to either have chosen a criminal lifestyle or to have credible threats against their lives, e.g. estranged ex-spouses, or just plain living in a bad area of town.Of course, the study, originally published in the ‘prestigious’ New England Journal of Medicine, Gun Ownership as a Risk Factor for Homicide in the Home | NEJM has been widely cited in the media, and still persists in the form of memes such as the OP. Thanks, in no small part, to the prestige commanded by the NEJM.It is amusing to read the letters to the editor in rebuttal to that article. They are available here: Guns and Homicide in the Home | NEJM Incredibly, the author responds to the criticism of reverse causation in response to these rebuttals in the following way: “If a gun in the home affords substantial protection from homicide (whether it is used to injure, kill, or frighten intruders or simply discourage them from entering), we should have found that homes in which a homicide occurred were less likely to contain a gun than similar households in which a homicide did not occur. The opposite was true.” (!!)It is also amusing and quite illuminating to apply that same tortured logic to the cases I open this response by citing: “If nitroglycerine pills actually treated heart conditions, we should have found that people who had them in their possession would have had a lower incidence of heart attacks than in those people who did not possess that medication. Instead, the opposite was true.” … “If diet foods prevented morbid obesity, we should have found that households filled with such products had fewer morbidly obese people than households lacking such products. Instead, the opposite was true.”If firefighters actually put out house fires, we should have found that houses surrounded by firefighters should have been burning less often than houses not surrounded by firefighters.If the Flight For Life actually saved people’s lives, we should have found that people being transported on such flights died at a rate less often than people not taking such flights.Such cases obviously draw the wrong conclusions - and yet, they employ the same “logic” as is used by Kellerman in his study. For some reason, the media, even including Scientific American (which one might think would employ editors in logic at least well enough to recognize this logical fallacy), continue to cite the study as if it were incontrovertible.Here is what Scientific American had to say:“So what does the research say? By far the most famous series of studies on this issue was conducted in the late 1980s and 1990s by Arthur Kellermann, now dean of the F. Edward Hébert School of Medicine at the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, and his colleagues. In one, published in 1993 in the New England Journal of Medicine and funded by the CDC, he and his colleagues identified 444 people who had been killed between 1987 and 1992 at home in three U.S. regions—Shelby County, Tennessee, King County, Washington State, and Cuyahoga County, Ohio—and then collected details about them and their deaths from local police, medical examiners and people who had been close to the victims. They found that a gun in the home was associated with a nearly threefold increase in the odds that someone would be killed at home by a family member or intimate acquaintance.” More Guns Do Not Stop More Crimes, Evidence ShowsThis case is possibly an object lesson why medical professionals are not the correct group to consider “gun violence”, especially considering that the NEJM took an editorial position against private gun ownership in the same issue, i.e. removing any doubt as to their lack of their objectivity on the subject.And also considering that some of the cases Kellerman counted as “increasing the risk of homicide” (i.e. cases of actual homicide) were actually legally justifiable homicides of criminal attackers - i.e. exactly the sort of homicides that underly the right of self-defense, rather than ones to be minimized or prohibited.Of course, this creates an enormous gulf between medical cases and ‘gun violence’ - there are no “good” or “justifiable” cases of plague or malaria or ebola, etc. Yet there are criminal homicides and justifiable homicides - which are night and day different both morally and legally; there is a world of difference between someone murdering others, and someone else who kills such a person in the act. The latter, of course, would never happen in households lacking guns - and yet, Kellerman expects us to view this as a good thing, a homicide avoided, when we are told “a gun in the home nearly triples the risk of homicide.”Unless and until the medical establishment can admit the difference between criminal and justifiable homicides, they should be kept away from ‘studying gun violence’, lest they produce more junk science studies as defective as the one giving rise to the OP question.Indeed, the possibility can not be ruled out that the authors maliciously overlook the reverse causation flaw in an attempt to disparage and denigrate the value of privately-owned guns for self-defense. Kellerman is no stranger to doing the latter, e.g. finding that “a gun in the home is 43 times more likely to kill friends, acquaintances or family than an unknown intruder” - counting suicides, and considering rival drug dealers as “acquaintances”, estranged ex-spouses as “family”, and only counting the *killings* of unknown intruders, thereby ignoring the vastly larger number of crimes successfully deterred or thwarted by merely showing the gun, or non-fatally shooting the criminal suspect. It makes no more sense to judge the value of private gun ownership by relative body counts than it does to judge the success of a police force by body counts, and yet, that is exactly what Kellerman does in this other study.(This sort of thing is why the NRA forced Congress to stop funding the CDC to do “gun violence research” - and rightly so. Note also how the Scientific American text gushes with the fallacy of Appeal to Authority, (dean of medicine at a University; published in the New England Journal of Medicine; funded by the CDC) rather than so much as taking a moment to look at what Kellerman’s article actually says - what the claim actually is, what the experimental design was, and whether the claim was actually supported by the results. Frankly, Scientific American should be ashamed of itself for citing such a study, and should not only apologize but also, to make amends, spend an article explaining to its readership what the experimental design actually was and what conclusions could rightly be drawn from it. They are welcome to use my answer here as guidance.) This answer was suggested by my 13-year-old.
Which one is correct, "fill in a form" or "fill out a form"?In terms of outcome, they mean the same thing. Usage, at least in my Canadian neighbourhood, varies depending on how specific the circumstance is.[Clerk hands you a blank form.]Here, fill in this form.Here, fill this out.
Which forms do I fill out for taxes in California? I have a DBA/sole proprietorship company with less than $1000 in profit. How many forms do I fill out? This is really overwhelming. Do I need to fill the Form 1040-ES? Did the deadline pass?You need to file two tax returns- one Federal Tax Form and another California State income law.My answer to your questions are for Tax Year 2018The limitation date for tax year 15.04.2018Federal Tax return for Individual is Form 1040 . Since you are carrying on proprietorship business, you will need to fill the Schedule C in Form 1040Form 1040 -ES , as the name suggests is for paying estimated tax for the current year. This is not the actual tax return form. Please note that while Form 1040, which is the return form for individuals, relates to the previous year, the estimated tax form (Form 1040-EZ ) calculates taxes for the current year.As far as , the tax return under tax laws of Californa State is concerned, the Schedule CA (540) Form is to be used for filing state income tax return . You use your federal information (forms 1040) to fill out your 540 FormPrashanthttp://irstaxapp.com
I need help filling out this IRA form to withdraw money. How do I fill this out?I am confused on the highlighted part.
How do I fill out form 26QB for TDS in case of more than one buyer and seller?Hi,Please select Yes in the column of Whether more than one Buyer/seller as applicable, and enter the Primary Member details in the Address of Transferee/Transferor & no need of secondary person details.The reason to include this is to know whether the agreement includes more than one buyer/seller, so the option is enabled.Hope it is useful.
In which semester can a BTech student apply for the UPSC Exam?In 6th and 7th semester you can apply for UPSC exam.You should have your degree in interview process.Otherwise you don’t need your degree for prelims & mains exam.
I'm trying to fill out a free fillable tax form. It won't let me click "done with this form" or "efile" which?From https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-utl/... (emphasis mine):DONE WITH THIS FORM — Select this button to save and close the form you are currently viewing and return to your 1040 form. This button is disabled when you are in your 1040 formSo, it appears, and without them mentioning it while you're working on it, that button is for all forms except 1040. Thank you to the other response to this question. I would never have thought of just clicking the Step 2 tab.