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Decline self initial

[Music] foreign [Music] ERS this is John kicklighter two strategist for dailyfx.com and since this is my last video of the year I wanted to focus in on an Outlook and what we're going to do today is take a look at the norms and seasonalities from the market I'm going to use the S P 500 as a proxy there uh and uh talk to some of the differences but also where that Conformity can be now of course what we're going to be looking at is the S P 500 as our Benchmark for risk or sentiment in the broader markets people could dispute uh that there are better ones out there and I'm open to those those discussions but I think it's at convenience and that's my go-to when I don't have enough time to really evaluate the entire market and I really am going to focus a lot on the seasonality aspects a lot of what we talk about uh through this past year has been the unique circumstances of 2022 and of course as we get into 2023 we're going to talk about the unique unfoldings fundamental technical uh purely Market condition oriented but I want to put in the context and I'll talk to some of those those matters as we had in the new year but I want to put in the context of the seasonal expectations because there's some strong ones in there so let's put it all together let's take a look at this S P 500 since we had enough of the time to read the risk disclaimer let's get into it so this is what we had from the S P 500 to close out this past year all right and as you can see it was a lot of consolidation for the final two weeks and generally speaking if you're looking at on a quarterly basis um so this is the entirety of the quarter we're generally in the middle of that that range actually the midpoint of the range is this uh green dashed line right here so we're exact almost exactly in the middle of that range that doesn't create a sense of urgency that we need to de-risk or return some loss risk or premium into the market because it's in the middle of the range of the previous three months so that's going to take a lot of the wind out of the sales now that's not to mean the Market's not going to move far from it they're they're going to move it's just going to be a matter of what are the provocations that we get fresh into 2023 all right it's going to be a lot less of just the uh The Hangover the spillover of of un uh unrelenting pressure from 2022. now that's not to mean that the fundamental issues aren't still going to carry over they absolutely will you just won't have an inherent technically oriented speculative buildup...